Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.921964 6.500323 7.136811 7.894201 8.777468 9.783200 11.026950
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.227894 6.050731 7.033465 8.315556 9.978286 12.113370 15.154342
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.724233 5.656761 6.831969 8.465612 10.754915 13.982895 19.162586
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.261649 5.223217 6.481293 8.312084 11.031468 15.160148 22.487404
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.915536 4.889488 6.203101 8.189012 11.290234 16.321258 26.147764
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.614599 4.580755 5.915838 7.997900 11.388435 17.214602 29.639601
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.403759 4.374075 5.746254 7.951717 11.696180 18.523379 34.543616
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.228182 4.200384 5.604143 7.923628 12.018898 19.928008 40.403920
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.126054 4.122637 5.594658 8.102803 12.732953 22.303627 50.348851
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.934505 3.898817 5.341215 7.841714 12.577333 22.767917 55.048139
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.763511 3.695143 5.103918 7.583260 12.386412 23.105944 59.660493
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.635151 3.548271 4.945722 7.446776 12.417449 23.987412 67.126940
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.518051 3.419235 4.818550 7.374813 12.619043 25.498988 79.711547
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.493501 3.432999 4.927207 7.752607 13.875164 30.439025 119.314485
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.426432 3.374556 4.909359 7.887600 14.619835 34.320143 166.836841
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.319803 3.245987 4.761445 7.749312 14.684652 36.043334 205.501007
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.226559 3.133922 4.634123 7.638372 14.797979 38.032835 260.382330
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.131236 3.013555 4.484280 7.465938 14.723059 39.310326 318.480870
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.062581 2.933741 4.401206 7.424238 14.989607 42.165400 443.669807
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.001195 2.862886 4.329445 7.398870 15.298445 45.457888 661.839978
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.969582 2.840242 4.343477 7.560614 16.179816 52.235681 1443.726084
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.887423 2.728038 4.185441 7.324866 15.836655 52.455875 1868.355153
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.810300 2.621671 4.033333 7.091124 15.466571 52.388474 2403.232538